Melanoma is the most common form of skin cancer, responsible for thousands of deaths annually. Novel therapies have been developed, but metastases are still a common problem, increasing the mortality rate and decreasing the quality of life of those who experience them. As traditional machine learning models for metastasis prediction have been limited to the use of a single modality, in this study we aim to explore and compare different unimodal and multimodal machine learning models to predict the onset of metastasis in melanoma patients to help clinicians focus their attention on patients at a higher risk of developing metastasis, increasing the likelihood of an earlier diagnosis. We use a patient cohort derived from an Electronic Health Record, and we consider various modalities of data, including static, time series, and clinical text. We formulate the problem and propose a multimodal ML workflow for predicting the onset of metastasis in melanoma patients. We evaluate the performance of the workflow based on various classification metrics and statistical significance. The experimental findings suggest that multimodal models outperform the unimodal ones, demonstrating the potential of multimodal ML to predict the onset of metastasis.

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A Workflow for Creating Multimodal Machine Learning Models for Metastasis Predictions in Melanoma Patients

  • Franco Rugolon,
  • Korbinian Randl,
  • Maria Bampa,
  • Panagiotis Papapetrou

摘要

Melanoma is the most common form of skin cancer, responsible for thousands of deaths annually. Novel therapies have been developed, but metastases are still a common problem, increasing the mortality rate and decreasing the quality of life of those who experience them. As traditional machine learning models for metastasis prediction have been limited to the use of a single modality, in this study we aim to explore and compare different unimodal and multimodal machine learning models to predict the onset of metastasis in melanoma patients to help clinicians focus their attention on patients at a higher risk of developing metastasis, increasing the likelihood of an earlier diagnosis. We use a patient cohort derived from an Electronic Health Record, and we consider various modalities of data, including static, time series, and clinical text. We formulate the problem and propose a multimodal ML workflow for predicting the onset of metastasis in melanoma patients. We evaluate the performance of the workflow based on various classification metrics and statistical significance. The experimental findings suggest that multimodal models outperform the unimodal ones, demonstrating the potential of multimodal ML to predict the onset of metastasis.