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The most dangerous effects of climate change may be related to forced mass migration. However, when we talk about climate migration, it is important to consider that while there is general consensus among climate scientists that adverse climate change could lead to mass population migration, so far there is no such consensus among demographers and sociologists. Until recently, some 10–20 years ago, some demographers and sociologists often questioned the relationship between climate and migration, attempting to prove that migration processes are far more influenced by other factors, such as demography, urbanization, education, and the development of urban industries and services [1]. For a climate scientist, the disregard for the role of climate change in mass population migrations comes as a surprise. After all, way back in the fourth century BC, the great ancient Greek philosopher Aristotle pointed out that the best conditions for human habitation and economic development are in temperate latitudes, since climatic conditions in polar or tropical latitudes are too cold or too hot for humans. Although we now know that Aristotle’s theory was a vast oversimplification of reality, it proves that the ancients were well aware of the importance of suitable climatic conditions for human life and the development of civilization. The only possible explanation for why in our time some people question what has always been known is the illusion created in recent decades that “modern man can adapt to any climatic conditions.” As outlined in the book, this is an illusion, because despite today’s tremendous technological advances, physiologically man has remained the same as he was thousands of years ago, so when in the coming decades unbearable climatic conditions threaten the life and health of the inhabitants of certain areas of the Global South, they will either be forced to hide in air-conditioned spaces for a long time and radically change their lives, which will become much more difficult, or to move from endangered areas, as has always been the case throughout the long history of human civilization.

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Will the World Be Able to Avoid Global Destabilization When the Inevitable Forced Mass Migration from the South to the North Begins?

  • 章节

  • 发表日期：

    2025年

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  • Boris Soukharev

摘要

The most dangerous effects of climate change may be related to forced mass migration. However, when we talk about climate migration, it is important to consider that while there is general consensus among climate scientists that adverse climate change could lead to mass population migration, so far there is no such consensus among demographers and sociologists. Until recently, some 10–20 years ago, some demographers and sociologists often questioned the relationship between climate and migration, attempting to prove that migration processes are far more influenced by other factors, such as demography, urbanization, education, and the development of urban industries and services [1]. For a climate scientist, the disregard for the role of climate change in mass population migrations comes as a surprise. After all, way back in the fourth century BC, the great ancient Greek philosopher Aristotle pointed out that the best conditions for human habitation and economic development are in temperate latitudes, since climatic conditions in polar or tropical latitudes are too cold or too hot for humans. Although we now know that Aristotle’s theory was a vast oversimplification of reality, it proves that the ancients were well aware of the importance of suitable climatic conditions for human life and the development of civilization. The only possible explanation for why in our time some people question what has always been known is the illusion created in recent decades that “modern man can adapt to any climatic conditions.” As outlined in the book, this is an illusion, because despite today’s tremendous technological advances, physiologically man has remained the same as he was thousands of years ago, so when in the coming decades unbearable climatic conditions threaten the life and health of the inhabitants of certain areas of the Global South, they will either be forced to hide in air-conditioned spaces for a long time and radically change their lives, which will become much more difficult, or to move from endangered areas, as has always been the case throughout the long history of human civilization.