Quantifying of Governance and Sectoral Policy History: Assessing General Education Efficiency in Lithuania in 1990–2020

The article presents the policy analysis and assessment of the general education sector in Lithuania for 1990–2020. The main method is based on the results of a quantitative survey conducted by experts. Dependent variable - achievements of Lithuanian students in TIMSS, PISA, PIRLS international studies. Independent variables: 1) appropriations for general education; 2) Efficiency of educational governance and educational policy in 1990–2020, determined by experts. The periodization of education governance was based on the prototype of Kondratiev’s long-wave model. It turned out that neither the dynamics of education appropriations nor the efficiency of the sector’s governance or its deficit affects the level of educational achievement. The country’s educational achievement level has been positioned at the average of all countries’ statistical norms for decades. During the last two electoral and government terms (2012–2016 and 2016–2020), the efficiency of educational governance, according to experts, found itself in a deep crisis, which continues even now. The methodological experience of the study can be used to evaluate the government history of other sectors: health, social security, environmental protection, etc.