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Integrating Uncertainty into a Supply Chain Network for Adaptive S&OP Process

  • Jean Baptiste Vidal,
  • Raphaël Oger,
  • Matthieu Lauras,
  • Jacques Lamothe

摘要

Instability is the new normal for supply chain networks. In this context, the Adaptive Sales and Operations Planning (AS&OP) process proposed by the Demand-Driven Adaptive-Enterprise model aims to improve the way these supply chain networks manage volatile, uncertain, complex and ambiguous environments. However, the process, as originally defined, relies mainly on a deterministic maximum likelihood approach, thus limiting its scope. The present research work examines existing strategies for integrating uncertainty into the strategic planning and ultimately proposes an original Decision Support System that integrates uncertainty via interval data and scenario-based planning. An illustrative case study validates this proposal and discusses its limitations.