Vectors of Development of National Agricultural Production in Conditions of Transformation

The study was conducted to identify development vectors at the stages of transformation of investments in agriculture established earlier by the authors (stage 1 - 1995–2005 and stage 3 – 2014–2021). Using statistical methods, the chain growth rates of time series of economic indicators of agricultural production in the Russian Federation for 1995–2021, the average geometric growth rates by stages of transformation were studied. The vectors of agricultural production development at both stages of transformation are the growth rates of acreage and gross harvest of sugar beet, production of livestock and poultry for slaughter (in slaughter weight), wool production, cattle and milk production. At the 1st stage of transformation, the vectors of agricultural production development are the growth rate of sunflower acreage, the gross harvest of sunflower seeds, the number of sheep and goats, and wool production. At the 3rd stage, the vectors of development are the growth rates of the acreage of flax, the gross harvest of flax fiber, the acreage of grain and leguminous crops, and the gross harvest of grain. The novelty of the study lies in a new methodical approach based on a quantitative assessment of the periods of transformation in national agriculture.