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Post Pandemic Terrorism: Surprises in Store

  • Theodore Jay Gordon

摘要

Terrorism and counter terrorism continued during the pandemic and on the surface neither appears to have been greatly affected by it.  The pandemic has been significant and had many obvious consequences, some affecting terrorism and that's what the chapter is about. The pandemic was the beginning of dozens of scenarios, we trace some in this paper.  Throughout the paper we use the inclusion of causality measure (CM), which is a way to express a judgement about the likelihood that the pandemic was a major direct cause of the scenario ranging from 10 (obvious connection) to 0 (no connection). The chapter thus focuses on changes expected in the terror threat in the post-corona era in which some are evolutionary, and some are by-product of the pandemic.