Modeling the Price Characteristics of the Russian Industrial Equipment Wholesale Market
摘要
The contribution examines the wholesale trade market for industrial equipment in the Samara region and the Russian Federation using multivariate statistical analysis methods. The main factors influencing its dynamics and territorial differences have been identified, key trends have been identified and a development forecast has been made. Standard procedures for modeling market indicators were used, which include time series analysis and forecasting. Models of price characteristics of the Russian industrial equipment wholesale market were constructed. It was found that export rates of equipment and machinery are highest in regions with developed infrastructure, trade and digitalization, with a predominantly manufacturing specificity of production. In regions focused on mining and agriculture, trade in equipment for export is not a key area of activity. As with exports, equipment imports are relevant for regions with good production infrastructure and manufacturing industries. At the same time, the budgetary security of the region does not affect the growth of imports. To increase the level of wholesale trade at the regional level, it is important to have financial resources among individuals and enterprises, primarily in the field of information technology and digital communications.