Analysis of the Effectiveness of Ecosystems in Russia Based on Mathematical Methods Modeling and Forecasting

The development of ecosystems, today, is of great importance for the socio-economic development of regions and countries. Given the rapid pace of change and uncertainty inherent in the modern economy, the development of business ecosystems can help entrepreneurs and managers predict and adapt to changes in the external environment, which is a key factor for success in modern business. The article explores the theoretical and methodological foundations of ecosystem creation and their similarity to biological species. Currently, there is a lack of research related to the analysis of the effectiveness of ecosystems. In this paper, the classification of ecosystems is considered, an analysis of the effectiveness of the leading Russian ecosystems based on the thermal correlation map is proposed. Based on the analysis, key indicators used to assess the performance of ecosystems were identified, such as the number of customers, profitability, number of services, etc. Russian companies were identified as leaders among ecosystems in terms of the “number of services” indicator.