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Cliometrics and Actuarial Science: New Avenues for Enriching Prospective Mortality Table Construction Models

  • Kué Gilles Gaba,
  • Stéphane Loisel,
  • Antoine Parent

摘要

In a cliometric context of demographic and epidemiological transitions, we have improved the accuracy of actuarial age-specific mortality projections by develop-ing the multifactor composite PCR-optimal/PLS model. The results show that the proposed model performs well compared to conventional approaches, although variations by age bracket suggest opportunities for improvement.