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Probabilistic GAMs: Beyond Mean Modelling

  • Anestis Antoniadis,
  • Jairo Cugliari,
  • Matteo Fasiolo,
  • Yannig Goude,
  • Jean-Michel Poggi

摘要

In Chap. 2 we introduced generalized additive models, and we showed how they can be used for electricity demand forecasting. The models discussed therein produced point estimates of the expected demand. In this chapter we extend the GAM framework beyond mean modelling.