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Development of a Platform for the Generation, Visualisation and Quantification of Disaster Impact Chains

  • Cees van Westen,
  • Iqra Naz,
  • Bastian van den Bout,
  • Johannes Flacke,
  • Irene Manzella,
  • Funda Atun,
  • Philipp Marr,
  • Gal Agmon,
  • Bouke Ottow,
  • Marcel Hurlimann,
  • Pavan Yeditha Kumar,
  • Silvia Cocuccioni,
  • Lea Schollerer,
  • Michalina Kulakowska,
  • Bettina Koelle,
  • Tatiana Ermolieva,
  • Rabina Twayana

摘要

There is a lack of publicly available tools for first and second responders and local authorities to evaluate the impact chains of multi-hazard events, with cascading hazards that result in cascading impacts. Within the framework of the EU HORIZON Europe PARATUS project, we are developing an open and online, user-centered methodology and tool for systemic risk assessment, co-designed with stakeholders and addressing physical, socio-economic, and environmental aspects. It will consist of guidelines and lessons learned, links to datasets and tools for multi-hazard risk assessments that consider future scenarios and adaptation measures. We foresee that the PARATUS Platform will have two major blocks: an information service that provides static information (or regularly updated information) and a simulation service, which is a dynamic component where stakeholders can interactively work with the tools in the platform. Based on the analysis of impact chains for historical disaster events we will develop a WIKI with standardized impact chains. These form the basis for the simulation of future events, with particular emphasis on cross-border and cascading impacts. The simulation platform will consists of tools that are dynamic and interactive, and which support the stakeholders to define, analyze and quantify the impact of multi-hazard events, now and under different future scenarios, and to evaluate which risk reduction options would be most suitable.