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Futures Thinking in Organizations: Theoretical Framework

  • Deborah A. Schreiber

摘要

This chapter provides a comprehensive review of the concept of futures thinking as a systems process to plan and sustain future organizational success. This chapter also describes the Schreiber–Berge maturity model that profiles organizational capability for futures thinking. The Schreiber-Berge maturity model distinguishes between organizational capacity for initial use of foresight to build scenarios and plan for future outcomes, and the organizational capacity to actualize success. Finally, this chapter discusses the three most significant disruptors impacting business today: explosive use of social media, shift in great wealth, and government instability.