Entropy, Constraints, and Action: Tools for Short-Term Prediction
摘要
Prediction is difficult, but we may correctly guess the evolving future in the short term. In this chapter, I discuss several concepts necessary for understanding crowds and the individual betting against the crowd. I discuss short-term prediction and short-term action as two important tools in the arsenal of the empowered individual. You will learn about a lady and a tiger, about entropy, constraintsConstraints, and ordinal patternsOrdinal patterns, and there will be an important lesson from a navy SEAL.