Technology for Creating Systems for Monitoring and Predictive Modeling the State of Hazardous Phenomena and Objects (on the Example of the Covid-19 Epidemic)
摘要
The paper considers the issues of creating systems for monitoring and predictive modeling the state of hazardous phenomena and objects, discusses various options for their use for risk analysis. Using the example of the Covid-19 pandemic, it is shown how the discrepancy between forecast and reality leads (after a critical analysis) to the model modification or a revision of the accepted external impact scenario.