Exploring the Energy Transition to LPG in the Nigerian Household Sector: A Scenario-Based Modeling Approach

Scenario-based models based on plausible and acceptable descriptions of the future have time and again been employed to study the effect of an evolving energy system. This study employed scenario-based modelingScenario-based modeling using the Long-Range Energy Alternatives Planning SystemLong-Range Energy Alternatives Planning System (LEAP) (LEAP) to explore the dynamics of the energy transitionEnergy transition to cleaner energy in the Nigerian household sectorNigerian household sector. Our analysis showed that the household sectorHousehold sector has and will continue to contribute the largest share to the overall energy demand in NigeriaNigeria within the period under study (2010–2030). To achieve sustainable development and eradicate energy povertyEnergy poverty within the Nigerian household sectorNigerian household sector an alternative energy transition scenario was explored. This scenario identified bottlenecks that could hinder the mainstreaming of Liquefied Petroleum GasLiquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG) to substitute traditional fuelwood in the household sectorHousehold sector and modeled a possible future where these bottlenecks are tackled, and LPGLiquefied Petroleum Gas becomes the fuel of choice within the household sector in NigeriaNigeria.