Probabilistic Organizational and Technological Model of Engineering and Technical Preparation of the Construction of an Industrial Facility

Timeliness, quality and volume of engineering and technical preparation measures are one of the significant, key factors determining the consistency of design (organizational and technological) solutions with regard to sustainability and efficiency of main stages of industrial facility construction. Development of adequate organizational and technological solutions taking into account actual conditions of construction area or expected conditions of construction production and, simultaneously, including the forecast of displays of possible negative factors is an actual task of increasing quality of preparation for erection of an industrial facility. The purpose of the research in this article is to reveal conditions and to develop a methodical justification for improving methods and techniques of forming and management of building production procedures in the preparation of the construction area. The main result of the research is development of scientific and practical hypothesis provisions about expediency of applying probabilistic models when developing organizational and technological solutions—concerning quality and efficiency assurance of engineering and technical preparation of construction production. The proposed approach appears as an actual direction of expansion of possibilities at organization and management of construction processes which are produced under conditions of dynamically changing states of production environment of building production, and also practical application of the tool of predictive account of risks of consequences of negative factors manifestation.