Evaluating Ecological Risks of Underground Transport Infrastructure Development Using BOCR
摘要
The priority tasks for human and social safety are considered as minimization problems of ecological and technogenic risks under conditions of constantly growing metropolises. The capabilities of underground structures of taking onto themselves the functions of the most hazardous and risk-bearing surface objects and communications are evaluated. The decision support models for assessing alternative car tunnel tracks in Kyiv are constructed. The BOCR (benefits, opportunities, costs, risks) technique for development of underground traffic infrastructure in Kyiv is developed and implemented. The task of prioritizing models (alternative variants) of the city’s underground development is considered, taking into account the conditions of incompleteness, imprecision, and indistinctness of input data. The task incorporates the results of expert estimation for the objects. The priorities for automobile tunnel tracks in Kyiv are calculated by aggregation of a network of parameters, justifying the most rational sequence of their construction, taking into account the criteria of reducing ecological and technogenic risks in urbanized space.