Strategy of Evaluation and Risk Management in Practical Urban Development Problems

A number of application cases of the modified morphological analysis method in practical urban development problems are presented. The technique for studying detrimental events, such as traffic accidents and jams, using the modified morphological analysis method is given, providing a well-grounded decision support regarding the mitigation methods for these events. A morphological model allowing to assess sites for underground construction is considered, where an uncertain or heterogeneous geological environment is studied at the pre-project stage using the modified morphological analysis method to obtain the estimates for its general favorability for construction, and the related recommended characteristics and involved risks of various types. This technique is complemented by a morphological model for structural and functional factors, providing an opportunity to evaluate specific construction objects—in the presented cases, parking lots and car tunnels. Another case of the method’s application is the comparison of different types of urban objects (underwater drainage pipes to underwater drainage tunnel; bridge crossing to tunnel crossing) regarding their resilience to undesirable events, including those of natural, technogenic, or anthropogenic origin. Finally, a framework for using a network of morphological tables for preventing and mitigating disasters is presented.