How Markov’s Little Idea Transformed Statistics
摘要
We discuss Andrey Andreyevich Markov’s early twentieth century idea of a Markov chain, which generalized the traditional notion of independent random variables to a model that was more general but still mathematical tractable. We then describe how that led to the hugely popular modern statistical approach of using Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms to estimate complicated quantities such as Bayesian posterior distributions.