Abstract <p>The paper presents the quality assessment of seasonal ensemble forecasts based on the new version of the INMCM6M Earth system model developed at Marchuk Institute of Numerical Mathematics of the Russian Academy of Sciences. The INMCM6M skill in seasonal predictions is compared with the previous model version INMCM5 and the models of foreign prediction centers.</p>

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Technology for Seasonal Ensemble Forecasting Based on the INMCM6M Earth System Model

  • M. A. Tarasevich,
  • V. V. Bragina,
  • V. A. Tishchenko,
  • A. S. Gritsun,
  • E. M. Volodin,
  • V. M. Khan,
  • E. N. Kruglova,
  • A. V. Subbotin,
  • Yu. D. Resnyanskii

摘要

Abstract

The paper presents the quality assessment of seasonal ensemble forecasts based on the new version of the INMCM6M Earth system model developed at Marchuk Institute of Numerical Mathematics of the Russian Academy of Sciences. The INMCM6M skill in seasonal predictions is compared with the previous model version INMCM5 and the models of foreign prediction centers.