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Prediction of the Arctic Sea Ice Characteristics for Summer Seasons Using the INM RAS Earth System Model

  • V. V. Bragina,
  • M. A. Tarasevich,
  • E. M. Volodin

摘要

Abstract

For summer seasonal hindcasts of the INMCM5 coupled Earth system model, the validation of Arctic sea ice parameters was performed against the Nimbus-7 SMMR and DMSP SSM/I-SSMIS Passive Microwave Data, Version 1 (for sea ice area), SODA3.4.2 and ORAS5 reanalyses (for sea ice concentration and thickness). The experimental ensemble forecast of the Arctic sea ice area and concentration for the summer season of 2023 was computed. The results were compared with the leading modern world prediction systems.