Pathological Pleural Invasion is a Risk Factor for Late Recurrence in Long-Term Survivors of Non-small Cell Lung Cancer after Complete Resection

Information regarding late recurrence after pulmonary resection for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is limited. This study aimed to analyze the risk factors for late recurrence after surgery for NSCLC in the current era.

We conducted a retrospective study of patients who underwent complete resection for pathological I–III NSCLC between 2006 and 2015. Late recurrence was defined as a recurrence that met the following conditions: (1) the patient underwent chest computed tomography (CT) at or after 54 months after surgery and recurrence was not detected at that time, and (2) recurrence that occurred more than 5 years after surgery. The factors influencing late recurrence, relapse-free survival (RFS), and overall survival (OS) after surgery were analyzed.

A total of 1275 with 5-year relapse-free survival after surgery were enrolled in this study. The mean age of the patients was 66.4 years and 54% of the patients were men. The median interval between surgery and the latest follow-up examination was 98 months. In total, 35 patients (2.7%) experienced late recurrence and 138 patients have died thus far. The cumulative recurrence, RFS, and OS rates at 10 years were 3.9%, 84.9%, and 86.3%, respectively. A multivariate analysis revealed that pleural invasion was an independent risk factor for late recurrence. Pleural invasion was a poor prognostic factor for both RFS and OS.

Pleural invasion was a predictor of late recurrence. Age > 67 years, preoperative serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) > 5 ng/ml, non-adenocarcinoma, and pleural invasion were poor prognostic factors for RFS.