<p>Displacement in Ethiopia is often governed and measured as a single event, yet people frequently move through sequential episodes shaped by drought stress, insecurity, and price pressures. Although scholarship on mobility trajectories, repeated displacement, and mobility regimes has challenged event-based accounts, less attention has been paid to how one movement episode reshapes access to land, work, documentation, and assistance in later episodes. This article asks how successive movements become connected and when the consequences of one episode shape the next. Drawing on qualitative fieldwork across three Ethiopian corridor types, including mobility biographies, participatory mapping sessions, and institutional interviews, the analysis examines how reported drought stress, insecurity, price and rent pressures, and land disputes interacted with route safety, tenure arrangements, service geographies, and administrative recognition. The findings distinguish between reported pressures, mediating conditions, household strategies, and spatial outcomes. They show how partial moves, rerouting, household splitting, and oscillation between service and labour nodes enabled households to retain claims across several places, while also creating new dependencies and risks of renewed displacement. From this comparison, the article develops cascading displacement as an empirically grounded conclusion: not simply repeated movement, but the feedback process through which the consequences of one movement episode alter the conditions of the next. A corridor and trajectory lens therefore shifts attention from event-based categories toward the linked geographies of mobility, settlement, and claims-making. The article offers a context-sensitive analytical contribution for examining repeated displacement, rather than a universal model or prevalence estimate for Ethiopia.</p>

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Cascading displacement in Ethiopia: drought stress, insecurity, and market pressures in the remaking of mobility, settlement, and land claims

  • Geleta Berhanu

摘要

Displacement in Ethiopia is often governed and measured as a single event, yet people frequently move through sequential episodes shaped by drought stress, insecurity, and price pressures. Although scholarship on mobility trajectories, repeated displacement, and mobility regimes has challenged event-based accounts, less attention has been paid to how one movement episode reshapes access to land, work, documentation, and assistance in later episodes. This article asks how successive movements become connected and when the consequences of one episode shape the next. Drawing on qualitative fieldwork across three Ethiopian corridor types, including mobility biographies, participatory mapping sessions, and institutional interviews, the analysis examines how reported drought stress, insecurity, price and rent pressures, and land disputes interacted with route safety, tenure arrangements, service geographies, and administrative recognition. The findings distinguish between reported pressures, mediating conditions, household strategies, and spatial outcomes. They show how partial moves, rerouting, household splitting, and oscillation between service and labour nodes enabled households to retain claims across several places, while also creating new dependencies and risks of renewed displacement. From this comparison, the article develops cascading displacement as an empirically grounded conclusion: not simply repeated movement, but the feedback process through which the consequences of one movement episode alter the conditions of the next. A corridor and trajectory lens therefore shifts attention from event-based categories toward the linked geographies of mobility, settlement, and claims-making. The article offers a context-sensitive analytical contribution for examining repeated displacement, rather than a universal model or prevalence estimate for Ethiopia.