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MODELS: a six-step framework for developing an infectious disease model

  • Jia Rui,
  • Kangguo Li,
  • Hongjie Wei,
  • Xiaohao Guo,
  • Zeyu Zhao,
  • Yao Wang,
  • Wentao Song,
  • Buasiyamu Abudunaibi,
  • Tianmu Chen

摘要

Since the COVID-19 pandemic began, a plethora of modeling studies related to COVID-19 have been released. While some models stand out due to their innovative approaches, others are flawed in their methodology. To assist novices, frontline healthcare workers, and public health policymakers in navigating the complex landscape of these models, we introduced a structured framework named MODELS. This framework is designed to detail the essential steps and considerations for creating a dependable epidemic model, offering direction to researchers engaged in epidemic modeling endeavors.

Graphical Abstract