Prognostic value of neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio and lymphocyte counts before durvalumab consolidation after radio-chemotherapy in locally advanced non-small cell lung cancer

Durvalumab, an anti-PD-L1 immune checkpoint inhibitor, after radio-chemotherapy (RCT) has changed the management of locally advanced non-small cell lung cancer (LA NSCLC). A series of retrospective studies have investigated different cut-off of lymphocyte count (LyC) and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) to predict survival in LA NSCLC. None of these studies has validated their threshold in an independent group of patients. We wanted to assess the OS prognostic value of NLR and LyC in patients with LA NSCLC treated by RCT and durvalumab, with threshold determination and their validation in an external cohort.

Patients were enrolled in four institutions between Oct. 2017 and Jan. 2022. Pre durvalumab LyC, neutrophils count (NC) and NLR were collected. To define NLR and LyC cut-off value predicting survival event, time dependent Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC) curves was performed. Survival outcomes were estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method and differences were compared using univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard models.

We included 76 patients in the training set and 85 in the test set. The best cut off were 2,94 for NLR and 0,61 G/l for LyC to predict OS in the training set. For patients with NLR > 2,94, univariate analysis showed no significant deterioration in OS in either the training set (p = 0,066) or the test set (p = 0,12). Patients with LyC > 0,61 G/L, in univariate analysis, had longer OS in training set (p = 0,030) and in test set (p = 0,0062). This OS increase was not found in multivariate analysis (p = 0,057) in training set but was confirmed in test set (0,039).

LyC > 0,61 G/l is associated with longer OS for LA NSCLC patient’s treated with RCT and durvalumab in univariate analysis. In this context, a particular expectation for organs at risk sparing during RT to avoid lymphopenia seems important.

Retrospectively registered.