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Objective <p>To systematically examine global trends and spatial distribution of the burden of chronic kidney disease associated with high red meat intake from 1990 to 2021 using data from the Global Burden of Disease 2021 study, providing scientific evidence for targeted prevention strategies.</p> Methods <p>We assessed disease burden using age-standardized death rate and age-standardized disability-adjusted life year rate. Disease burden was analyzed by sex, age, region, and Socio-demographic Index level, while estimated annual percentage change was calculated to evaluate temporal trends.For the analysis of future trends in chronic kidney disease burden, we utilized both the Age-Period-Cohort model and the Bayesian Age-Period-Cohort model.</p> Results <p>From 1990 to 2021, age-standardized death rate and disability-adjusted life year rates of chronic kidney disease linked to high red meat intake increased, with EAPCs of 1.33% and 1.07%, respectively. Males consistently exhibited a higher disease burden than females, with mortality peaking in the 85–89 age group. The age-standardized disability-adjusted life year rate in high-SDI groups (6.59 per 100,000) was significantly higher than in low-SDI groups (2.38 per 100,000). A temporary decline occurred between 2016 and 2018, and disease burden decreased among individuals over 95 years old between 2018 and 2021.</p> Conclusion <p>The chronic kidney disease burden associated with high red meat intake demonstrated significant demographic and regional disparities, characterized by an overall increasing trend with some period-specific exceptions. These findings suggest the need for targeted public health interventions, particularly dietary guidance for high-risk populations such as males and residents of high-SDI groups. Future research should focus on elucidating the underlying biological mechanisms and social determinants that drive these disparities.</p>

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Trends in the burden of chronic kidney disease related to high red meat intake from 1990 to 2021

  • 期刊论文

  • 出版模式：

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  • 发表日期：

    2025年4月8日

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  • Miaofei Dai,
  • Haixu Guo

摘要

Objective

To systematically examine global trends and spatial distribution of the burden of chronic kidney disease associated with high red meat intake from 1990 to 2021 using data from the Global Burden of Disease 2021 study, providing scientific evidence for targeted prevention strategies.

Methods

We assessed disease burden using age-standardized death rate and age-standardized disability-adjusted life year rate. Disease burden was analyzed by sex, age, region, and Socio-demographic Index level, while estimated annual percentage change was calculated to evaluate temporal trends.For the analysis of future trends in chronic kidney disease burden, we utilized both the Age-Period-Cohort model and the Bayesian Age-Period-Cohort model.

Results

From 1990 to 2021, age-standardized death rate and disability-adjusted life year rates of chronic kidney disease linked to high red meat intake increased, with EAPCs of 1.33% and 1.07%, respectively. Males consistently exhibited a higher disease burden than females, with mortality peaking in the 85–89 age group. The age-standardized disability-adjusted life year rate in high-SDI groups (6.59 per 100,000) was significantly higher than in low-SDI groups (2.38 per 100,000). A temporary decline occurred between 2016 and 2018, and disease burden decreased among individuals over 95 years old between 2018 and 2021.

Conclusion

The chronic kidney disease burden associated with high red meat intake demonstrated significant demographic and regional disparities, characterized by an overall increasing trend with some period-specific exceptions. These findings suggest the need for targeted public health interventions, particularly dietary guidance for high-risk populations such as males and residents of high-SDI groups. Future research should focus on elucidating the underlying biological mechanisms and social determinants that drive these disparities.