Assessing muscle invasion in bladder cancer via virtual biopsy: a study on quantitative parameters and classical radiomics features from dual-energy CT imaging

To evaluate the prediction value of Dual-energy CT (DECT)-based quantitative parameters and radiomics model in preoperatively predicting muscle invasion in bladder cancer (BCa).

A retrospective study was performed on 126 patients with BCa who underwent DECT urography (DECTU) in our hospital. Patients were randomly divided into training and test cohorts with a ratio of 7:3. Quantitative parameters derived from DECTU were identified through univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis to construct a DECT model. Radiomics features were extracted from the 40, 70, 100 keV and iodine-based material-decomposition (IMD) images in the venous phase to construct radiomics models from individual and combined images using a support vector machine classifier, and the optimal performing model was chosen as the final radiomics model. Subsequently, a fusion model combining the DECT parameters and the radiomics model was established. The diagnostic performances of all three models were evaluated through receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and the clinical usefulness was estimated using decision curve analysis (DCA).

The normalized iodine concentration (NIC) in DECT was an independent factor in diagnosing muscle invasion of BCa. The optimal multi-image radiomics model had predictive performance with an area-under-the-curve (AUC) of 0.867 in the test cohort, better than the AUC = 0.704 with NIC. The fusion model showed an increased level of performance, although the difference in AUC (0.893) was not statistically significant. Additionally, it demonstrated superior performance in DCA. For lesions smaller than 3 cm, the fusion model showed a high predictive capability, achieving an AUC value of 0.911. There was a slight improvement in model performance, although the difference was not statistically significant. This improvement was observed when comparing the AUC values of the DECT and radiomics models, which were 0.726 and 0.884, respectively.

The proposed fusion model combing NIC and the optimal multi-image radiomics model in DECT showed good diagnostic capability in predicting muscle invasiveness of BCa.