Competition of Economic Sectors for Cargo Carrying Capacity of the Eastern Range
摘要
The reorientation of Russian exports to the East has led to extreme congestion on certain sections of the Trans-Siberian Railway (Transsib) and Baikal–Amur Mainline (BAM). The article examines possible ways to overcome the emerging transportation and infrastructure imbalance and assesses their economic, social, and financial consequences for the economy of the Siberian and Far Eastern federal districts and Russia as a whole. Based on the optimization intersectoral interregional model, scenarios with different product range of freight transportation (combinations of the agricultural production complex, woodworking, nonferrous metallurgy, oil refining, and chemical production) were constructed. In the scenarios under consideration, an assessment is given of changes in the volumes of gross product, final consumption, and tax revenues in the budget system of the Russian Federation, including the consolidated regional budgets of the Siberian and Far Eastern federal districts.