Abstract <p>The article constructs trends in postconflict economic development based on predictive analysis. Graphical data are provided models of postconflict economic development during the period of postwar reconstruction programs. A forecast analysis is presented (using the Donetsk People’s Republic as an example), and the problems of economic recovery and development in the new constituent entities of the Russian Federation and border regions of the Russian Federation, which suffered from military action, are examined. The patterns of recovery processes as an extremely moderate and long-term stage of economic development have been identified, which is proposed to be taken into account when drafting policy documents in the context of new socio-economic challenges.</p>