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Abstract <p>The article describes the results of quantitative calculations in accordance with scenario forecasts of the global and domestic economies, as well as the Russian information and communication technology (ICT) sector. Based on the scenario conditions, quantitative parameters of forecasts for the development of the domestic ICT sector were determined in four scenarios: “maximum” (target scenario), “cautious growth,” “moderate expansion” and “crisis” (the worst possible) taking into account their characteristic features.</p>

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About Scenarios and Quantitative Parameters of the Forecast for the Development of the ICT Sector in Russia

  • 期刊论文

  • 发表日期：

    2025年4月1日

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  • D. R. Belousov,
  • E. Yu. Ablaev,
  • E. A. Abramova,
  • V. G. Artemenko,
  • I. B. Ipatova,
  • K. V. Mikhailenko,
  • O. G. Solntsev

摘要

Abstract

The article describes the results of quantitative calculations in accordance with scenario forecasts of the global and domestic economies, as well as the Russian information and communication technology (ICT) sector. Based on the scenario conditions, quantitative parameters of forecasts for the development of the domestic ICT sector were determined in four scenarios: “maximum” (target scenario), “cautious growth,” “moderate expansion” and “crisis” (the worst possible) taking into account their characteristic features.