Forecasts of Rare-earth Elements Consumption in Russia: Basic and Emerging Industries
摘要
This study aims to develop medium-term forecasts for the consumption of rare-earth elements in Russia by considering the concepts, strategies, and programs associated with the development of both national industries with stable demand for these elements and emerging industries. Forecasts were developed using methods of correlation analysis and extrapolation, and specific values of rare-earth elements consumption per unit of finished product were assessed based on an analysis of global industrial experience. The study results include a classification of existing and promising industries that consume rare-earth elements in Russia, forecasts of consumption in basic and emerging industries for the period from 2023 to 2030, and an analysis of the forecast demand for rare-earth elements. These results can be used to develop strategic documents for the development of the rare-earth industry in Russia.