Employment and Labor Productivity in Russia: Analysis and Forecasts

The article analyzes the main characteristics of employment in Russia, considers the peculiarities of their development. The dynamics of labor productivity and the structure of the employed population are analyzed in the sectoral context and taking into account international comparisons. The forecast of sectoral dynamics in labor productivity is evaluated depending on the speed and quality of economic growth. Here, the quality of economic growth is associated with the level and dynamics of technological development. The paper considers scenarios for medium-term development of the Russian economy and the forecasts of sectoral productivity for primary resources (as an indicator of technological changes in industries) and labor productivity achieved on their basis. The transition to forecast estimates of the number of employees was made taking into account the prospects for the country’s demographic development.