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Assessing Potential Damage to Public Health from Impacts Associated with Climate Variability and Climate Change

  • B. N. Porfiriev,
  • B. A. Revich

摘要

Abstract—

Methodological approaches to assessing possible damage to public health from climate change and its impact, primarily that of temperature extremes, including heat waves, are contemplated. The limitations of these approaches and the algorithm for calculating economic damage from excess morbidity and premature mortality caused by the above mentioned climatic factors are substantiated. Improvements of the operational Methodological Recommendations of Rospotrebnadzor of 2011, including calculation methods are introduced. Examples of assessments of the damage to human health in terms of excess morbidity and premature mortality from heat waves are considered.