Estimation of Probabilities of Transitions of a Markov Binary Input Signal of a Nonlinear System

The problem of estimating unknown probabilities of transitions of a random Markov binary input signal of a nonlinear one-dimensional discrete system based on estimating the expectation and variance of the output signal is considered. The defined expressions are built on the basis of considering equally probable transitions and the steady-state mode of the algorithm for assessing the state of the system, obtained by approximating the probability density of its output signal by the Pearson type I distribution. An example of a comparison of the theoretical calculations with the results of imitation mathematical modeling is given.