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Solar Activity in the Last 20 Years and a Forecast of the 25th Solar Cycle

  • Y. I. Stozhkov,
  • V. P. Okhlopkov

摘要

Abstract

Experimental data on solar activity (sunspot number, induction of solar polar magnetic field Bp, and others), characteristics of interplanetary space, and cosmic ray fluxes testify that the Sun has entered a deep minimum of its activity similar to the Dalton minimum. An almost functional relationship was found between maximum values of Bpmax observed in the solar activity minimum of the 11-year cycle and the next sunspot maximum. Based on this relationship, a simple method of forecasting maximum number of sunspots Rzmax and time course Rz(t) was developed. A forecast of the 25th solar cycle is given.