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Navigating divergent trends in global oil demand: the impact of petrochemicals

  • Dean Foreman,
  • Martha Gilchrist Moore

摘要

The debate over global oil demand growth has become polarized between two trends: the electrification of road transport, which reduces oil consumption, and the rising industrial demand for petrochemicals and plastics, which increases it. Recent forecasts present conflicting views on these trends. While transportation remains the largest oil consuming segment, the impact of growing petrochemical and industrial applications is less well understood due to limited data on intermediate products and refinery processes. Understanding the relationship between consumer goods demand and petrochemical oil use is crucial for accurate corporate planning and energy policy, highlighting the need for improved data and measurement.