Evaluation of the meningococcal C toddler vaccination and of introducing ACWY adolescent vaccination in Germany
摘要
In Germany, primary vaccination against invasive meningococcal disease (IMD) in young children was recommended against serogroup C (MenC) since 2005 and B (MenB) since 2024. Because of changes in the epidemiology of serogroups C and Y, we re-evaluated the MenC toddler vaccination, also considering scenarios of MenACWY vaccination.
MethodsWe used a dynamic-transmission model of meningococcal carriage calibrated to national surveillance data for 10-year simulations. We compared MenC vaccination in toddlers with scenarios of (i) no MenC/MenACWY vaccination, (ii) MenACWY toddler vaccination, (iii) MenACWY primary adolescent vaccination, and (iv) combined MenACWY toddler plus adolescent booster vaccination. We compared prevented IMD cases, sequelae and deaths. In sensitivity analyses we varied key assumptions.
ResultsThe 243 (95%-uncertainty interval: 220–258) annual IMD cases with the MenC toddler vaccination increased by 2.9 (2.2–3.7) cases without MenC vaccination. Conversely, IMD cases were reduced by 2.4 (1.7–2.9), 3.6 (2.8–4.7), or 8.8 (7.8–9.8), with MenACWY toddler, primary adolescent, or combined toddler and adolescent vaccination, respectively. Preventing one IMD case required 210,000 (170,000–280,000) MenC or 120,000 (98,000–140,000) MenACWY toddler, 81,000 (71,000–91,000) MenACWY toddler and adolescent, and 51,000 (45,000–59,000) MenACWY primary adolescent vaccinations. Effectiveness of adolescent vaccination increased near-linearly with uptake. Longer simulations showed the potential for serogroup replacement resulting from MenACWY adolescent vaccination.
ConclusionsContinuing toddler vaccination with MenACWY (or MenC) keeps the IMD burden slightly lower than without toddler vaccination. Yet, MenACWY primary adolescent vaccination required the fewest doses per case prevented. Serogroup carriage requires up-to-date monitoring. This study informed the recently changed meningococcal vaccination recommendation in Germany.