Quantifying salinity and drought drive forces on paddy field loss in the Mekong Delta, Vietnam
摘要
As the third-largest rice exporter globally, 90% of Vietnam’s rice exports come from the Mekong Delta. However, while global cultivated land has expanded since this century, both the area and yield of paddy rice in the Vietnam Mekong Delta (VMD) have declined, equivalent to the rations for 8.7 million people. Utilizing remote sensing and annual land use trajectories to quantify contributions, we estimate that, when excluding urban conversions, 25.14% of VMD paddy field loss directly stems from salinity and drought stress, while 74.86% involves indirect links to these stressors alongside economic drivers. Severe drought and salinity intrusion events are mainly influenced by El Nino. Sediment starvation combined with sea level rise is the main factor leading to the long-term trends of salinity intrusion. The results of this study will offer advice for adaptation policy development in the VMD and other similar regions.