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<p>Wave and offshore-wind energies offer promising alternatives to fossil fuels, yet their combined potential under climate change remains poorly understood. Here we assess how climate change may affect this potential over the coming century, using outputs from fifteen global climate models included in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 and an empirical method to refine model projections. We identify two oceanic bands between 40°S and 60°S with high combined energy potential. Notably, the region between 20°E and 180°E is projected to remain favorable for both energy sources. We also conduct a multi-level analysis to show how improved climate modeling enhances predictions of renewable energy resources. These findings provide valuable insights for policymakers, industry stakeholders, and researchers seeking to enhance the resilience and sustainability of renewable energy systems.</p>

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Offshore wave and wind energy development in the Southern Hemisphere will remain optimal between 20°E and 180°E by 2100

  • 期刊论文

  • 出版模式：

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  • 发表日期：

    2025年6月19日

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  • Xiaohu Zhao,
  • Guohe Huang,
  • Yongping Li,
  • Chen Lu,
  • Chuyin Tian,
  • Tangnyu Song,
  • Xiong Zhou,
  • Wenchang Tang,
  • Bo Pang

摘要

Wave and offshore-wind energies offer promising alternatives to fossil fuels, yet their combined potential under climate change remains poorly understood. Here we assess how climate change may affect this potential over the coming century, using outputs from fifteen global climate models included in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 and an empirical method to refine model projections. We identify two oceanic bands between 40°S and 60°S with high combined energy potential. Notably, the region between 20°E and 180°E is projected to remain favorable for both energy sources. We also conduct a multi-level analysis to show how improved climate modeling enhances predictions of renewable energy resources. These findings provide valuable insights for policymakers, industry stakeholders, and researchers seeking to enhance the resilience and sustainability of renewable energy systems.