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<p>In the 2023 summer, wildfires in Canada were exceptionally intense, producing the highest carbon emissions recorded since 2003 and affecting much of North America. However, the factors driving the 2023 wildfires and their interactions remain poorly understood. Here we demonstrate that the 2023 Canadian wildfires were primarily fueled by persistent, intense and widespread summer surface warming, along with pronounced reductions in precipitation and soil moisture. These conditions were closely linked to unusually frequent, wide, long-lasting and eastward-moving North American blocking events. We reveal that an unusually strong negative Pacific Decadal Oscillation and an Eastern Pacific El Niño in the 2023 summer play a crucial role in promoting these blocking patterns. Furthermore, we find that abnormally low precipitation and soil moisture during&#xa0;the preceding winter and spring served as critical precursors, compounding summer fire risk by preconditioning the landscape. Our findings offer new insights into the underlying causes of the 2023 Canadian wildfires.</p>

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Atmospheric and oceanic drivers behind the 2023 Canadian wildfires

  • 期刊论文

  • 出版模式：

    开放获取

  • 发表日期：

    2025年6月9日

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  • Binhe Luo,
  • Cunde Xiao,
  • Dehai Luo,
  • Qiang Fu,
  • Deliang Chen,
  • Qiang Zhang,
  • Yao Ge,
  • Yina Diao

摘要

In the 2023 summer, wildfires in Canada were exceptionally intense, producing the highest carbon emissions recorded since 2003 and affecting much of North America. However, the factors driving the 2023 wildfires and their interactions remain poorly understood. Here we demonstrate that the 2023 Canadian wildfires were primarily fueled by persistent, intense and widespread summer surface warming, along with pronounced reductions in precipitation and soil moisture. These conditions were closely linked to unusually frequent, wide, long-lasting and eastward-moving North American blocking events. We reveal that an unusually strong negative Pacific Decadal Oscillation and an Eastern Pacific El Niño in the 2023 summer play a crucial role in promoting these blocking patterns. Furthermore, we find that abnormally low precipitation and soil moisture during the preceding winter and spring served as critical precursors, compounding summer fire risk by preconditioning the landscape. Our findings offer new insights into the underlying causes of the 2023 Canadian wildfires.