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<p>A just transition to green economy sectors must be grounded in optimizing job matching, that is, suitable opportunities of aligning employers with job seekers, which is critical for meeting a zero-emissions future. However, the interaction between job matching and emission patterns remains unclear. Here we examine both historical and future trends in this interaction using a global unifying explanation with high-aggregated model. Our findings reveal national-level latitude and wealth effects. In high-latitude regions, 79% of job matching in relatively wealthy nations show a positive correlation with emissions reductions. In contrast, this trend is observed in only 10% of poorer nations located at low latitudes. Introducing the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways, our projection shows global job matching will be consistently improved under SSP1-2.6, but only nations in Asia, the Middle East, and Africa will benefit under SSP5-8.5. This work provides a quantitative perspective to plan the low-carbon transition of global labor force.</p>

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Job seekers have more suitable job opportunities in decarbonization in the Global North than in the Global South

  • 期刊论文

  • 出版模式：

    开放获取

  • 发表日期：

    2025年4月8日

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  • Shi Zhao,
  • Quan Shao,
  • Lei Zhang,
  • Xia Zhou,
  • Huaming Guo,
  • Zhifu Mi

摘要

A just transition to green economy sectors must be grounded in optimizing job matching, that is, suitable opportunities of aligning employers with job seekers, which is critical for meeting a zero-emissions future. However, the interaction between job matching and emission patterns remains unclear. Here we examine both historical and future trends in this interaction using a global unifying explanation with high-aggregated model. Our findings reveal national-level latitude and wealth effects. In high-latitude regions, 79% of job matching in relatively wealthy nations show a positive correlation with emissions reductions. In contrast, this trend is observed in only 10% of poorer nations located at low latitudes. Introducing the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways, our projection shows global job matching will be consistently improved under SSP1-2.6, but only nations in Asia, the Middle East, and Africa will benefit under SSP5-8.5. This work provides a quantitative perspective to plan the low-carbon transition of global labor force.