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The Molecular Twin artificial-intelligence platform integrates multi-omic data to predict outcomes for pancreatic adenocarcinoma patients

  • Arsen Osipov,
  • Ognjen Nikolic,
  • Arkadiusz Gertych,
  • Sarah Parker,
  • Andrew Hendifar,
  • Pranav Singh,
  • Darya Filippova,
  • Grant Dagliyan,
  • Cristina R. Ferrone,
  • Lei Zheng,
  • Jason H. Moore,
  • Warren Tourtellotte,
  • Jennifer E. Van Eyk,
  • Dan Theodorescu

摘要

Contemporary analyses focused on a limited number of clinical and molecular biomarkers have been unable to accurately predict clinical outcomes in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma. Here we describe a precision medicine platform known as the Molecular Twin consisting of advanced machine-learning models and use it to analyze a dataset of 6,363 clinical and multi-omic molecular features from patients with resected pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma to accurately predict disease survival (DS). We show that a full multi-omic model predicts DS with the highest accuracy and that plasma protein is the top single-omic predictor of DS. A parsimonious model learning only 589 multi-omic features demonstrated similar predictive performance as the full multi-omic model. Our platform enables discovery of parsimonious biomarker panels and performance assessment of outcome prediction models learning from resource-intensive panels. This approach has considerable potential to impact clinical care and democratize precision cancer medicine worldwide.