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<p>Southern Africa faces high food insecurity and projected declines in agroclimatic conditions. Multiple satellite measures indicate that cropland productivity has stagnated for most of the region except South Africa in the past 20 years, in contrast to what official crop statistics suggest. Climate trends do not explain this stagnation, with the region experiencing more rainfall and less warming than most climate model projections. A change of course is needed before climate impacts accelerate.</p>

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Crop productivity in southern Africa is stagnant despite moderate climate trends

  • 期刊论文

  • 发表日期：

    2025年7月15日

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  • David B. Lobell,
  • Richard J. Lee

摘要

Southern Africa faces high food insecurity and projected declines in agroclimatic conditions. Multiple satellite measures indicate that cropland productivity has stagnated for most of the region except South Africa in the past 20 years, in contrast to what official crop statistics suggest. Climate trends do not explain this stagnation, with the region experiencing more rainfall and less warming than most climate model projections. A change of course is needed before climate impacts accelerate.