<p>Despite their growing use in medicine, large language models (LLMs) demonstrate limited diagnostic reasoning. We evaluated a two-stage prompting framework with predefined verification steps (Initial Diagnosis → Verification → Final Diagnosis) on 589 MedQA-USMLE and 300 NEJM cases using GPT-4o and DeepSeek-V3. Each case was sampled five times and evaluated by blinded board-certified doctors. After verification of the initial diagnosis, the final diagnosis achieved up to 5.2% higher accuracy, 16.0% lower uncertainty, and 23.3% greater consistency. Among three reasoning errors, the reasoning procedure of the final diagnosis showed the largest reduction in incorrect medical knowledge (63.0%). Compared with Chain-of-Thought, the framework yielded improvements of up to 4.0% in accuracy, 4.9% reductions in uncertainty, and 11.0% increases in consistency. These results suggest that the two-stage prompting framework with predefined verification steps may contribute to improved diagnostic reasoning, as observed on these two datasets under experimental conditions. More datasets and models will be needed to evaluate performance.</p>

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Two-stage prompting framework with predefined verification steps for evaluating diagnostic reasoning tasks on two datasets

  • Ming Shao,
  • Haichun Zhang

摘要

Despite their growing use in medicine, large language models (LLMs) demonstrate limited diagnostic reasoning. We evaluated a two-stage prompting framework with predefined verification steps (Initial Diagnosis → Verification → Final Diagnosis) on 589 MedQA-USMLE and 300 NEJM cases using GPT-4o and DeepSeek-V3. Each case was sampled five times and evaluated by blinded board-certified doctors. After verification of the initial diagnosis, the final diagnosis achieved up to 5.2% higher accuracy, 16.0% lower uncertainty, and 23.3% greater consistency. Among three reasoning errors, the reasoning procedure of the final diagnosis showed the largest reduction in incorrect medical knowledge (63.0%). Compared with Chain-of-Thought, the framework yielded improvements of up to 4.0% in accuracy, 4.9% reductions in uncertainty, and 11.0% increases in consistency. These results suggest that the two-stage prompting framework with predefined verification steps may contribute to improved diagnostic reasoning, as observed on these two datasets under experimental conditions. More datasets and models will be needed to evaluate performance.