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Optimization of first-line treatment selection in advanced pancreatic adenocarcinoma using artificial intelligence

  • Sebastian Cole,
  • Paul Campitelli,
  • Brian Grieb,
  • Igor Astsaturov,
  • Daniel Von Hoff,
  • Harshabad Singh,
  • Michael J. Pishvaian,
  • Tanios S. Bekaii-Saab,
  • Peter J. Hosein,
  • Philip A. Philip,
  • Anthony Helmstetter,
  • Todd Maney,
  • Jennifer R. Ribeiro,
  • James Hamrick,
  • Daniel Magee,
  • David Spetzler

摘要

Improved clinical outcomes are reported for patients with advanced pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PDAC) treated with first-line FOLFIRINOX/NALIRIFOX, but elderly patients with comorbidities are more often treated with gemcitabine/nab-paclitaxel (gem/nab-p). There is currently no comprehensive method to optimize first-line treatment selection between these regimens. We developed a propensity score matched, transcriptomic-based AI model using 2202 molecularly-profiled PDAC specimens to provide clinically relevant treatment recommendations and prognostic information. In a testing dataset of patients predicted to have superior outcomes on first-line FOLFIRINOX, time-to-next-treatment (TTNT) and overall survival (OS) were significantly longer for patients treated with FOLFIRINOX first (HRs = 0.55 and 0.48, respectively, p < 0.001). Patients recommended for gem/nab-p treatment had similar outcomes on either treatment, but a subset had improved outcomes on gem/nab-p. Approximately half of patients had received the opposite therapy from the model recommendation. Applied clinically, this model could improve treatment decision-making in advanced PDAC in the first-line setting.