<p>This research proposes an innovative framework that integrates Machine Learning classification, the Carnegie-Ames-Stanford Approach (CASA), unmanned aerial vehicles (UAV), and multi-source data to estimate the net primary productivity (NPP) of campus green spaces. Green space was extracted using Random Forest with an overall accuracy of 94.6% (Kappa = 0.919). The fraction of Photosynthetically Active Radiation (FPAR) was derived from UAV multispectral vegetation indices, while temperature, solar radiation, and the Water Stress Factor (WSF) estimated from Sentinel 2 imagery were integrated into CASA to model NPP. Validation showed that our approach offered higher R<sup>2</sup> and lower RMSE compared to traditional CASA. Across two seasons, the model achieved R<sup>2</sup> values of 0.68–0.79, with RMSE of 11.74–17.01 gC·m<sup>-2</sup>·month<sup>-1</sup> and RRMSE of 15.63–22.65%. Seasonal dynamics and human activities explained the observed variation in R<sup>2</sup>, RMSE, and RRMSE. Our scalable approach suggests that campus green spaces have the potential to serve as contributors to urban carbon sinks. This method has strong potential to inform sustainable urban planning, carbon offset programs, and nature-based climate solutions.</p>

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A high-resolution machine learning and multi-source remote sensing approach for estimating net primary productivity in campus green spaces

  • Chien-Hao Sung,
  • Candera Wijaya,
  • Aji Kusumaning Asri,
  • Yinq-Rong Chern,
  • Tee-Ann Teo,
  • Wan-Yu Liu,
  • Chia-Ho Lee,
  • Yu-Liang Hsu,
  • Chih-Da Wu

摘要

This research proposes an innovative framework that integrates Machine Learning classification, the Carnegie-Ames-Stanford Approach (CASA), unmanned aerial vehicles (UAV), and multi-source data to estimate the net primary productivity (NPP) of campus green spaces. Green space was extracted using Random Forest with an overall accuracy of 94.6% (Kappa = 0.919). The fraction of Photosynthetically Active Radiation (FPAR) was derived from UAV multispectral vegetation indices, while temperature, solar radiation, and the Water Stress Factor (WSF) estimated from Sentinel 2 imagery were integrated into CASA to model NPP. Validation showed that our approach offered higher R2 and lower RMSE compared to traditional CASA. Across two seasons, the model achieved R2 values of 0.68–0.79, with RMSE of 11.74–17.01 gC·m-2·month-1 and RRMSE of 15.63–22.65%. Seasonal dynamics and human activities explained the observed variation in R2, RMSE, and RRMSE. Our scalable approach suggests that campus green spaces have the potential to serve as contributors to urban carbon sinks. This method has strong potential to inform sustainable urban planning, carbon offset programs, and nature-based climate solutions.