A deep learning model for predicting blastocyst formation from cleavage-stage human embryos using time-lapse images

Efficient prediction of blastocyst formation from early-stage human embryos is imperative for improving the success rates of assisted reproductive technology (ART). Clinics transfer embryos at the blastocyst stage on Day-5 but Day-3 embryo transfer offers the advantage of a shorter culture duration, which reduces exposure to laboratory conditions, potentially enhancing embryonic development within a more conducive uterine environment and improving the likelihood of successful pregnancies. In this paper, we present a novel ResNet-GRU deep-learning model to predict blastocyst formation at 72 HPI. The model considers the time-lapse images from the incubator from Day 0 to Day 3. The model predicts blastocyst formation with a validation accuracy of 93% from the cleavage stage. The sensitivity and specificity are 0.97 and 0.77 respectively. The deep learning model presented in this paper will assist the embryologist in identifying the best embryo to transfer at Day 3, leading to improved patient outcomes and pregnancy rates in ART.