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Fractional-order state space reconstruction: a new frontier in multivariate complex time series

  • Jieren Xie,
  • Guanghua Xu,
  • Xiaobi Chen,
  • Xun Zhang,
  • Ruiquan Chen,
  • Zengyao Yang,
  • Churui Fang,
  • Peiyuan Tian,
  • Qingqiang Wu,
  • Sicong Zhang

摘要

This paper presents a novel approach to the phase space reconstruction technique, fractional-order phase space reconstruction (FOSS), which generalizes the traditional integer-order derivative-based method. By leveraging fractional derivatives, FOSS offers a novel perspective for understanding complex time series, revealing unique properties not captured by conventional methods. We further develop the multi-span transition entropy component method (MTECM-FOSS), an advanced complexity measurement technique that builds upon FOSS. MTECM-FOSS decomposes complexity into intra-sample and inter-sample components, providing a more comprehensive understanding of the dynamics in multivariate data. In simulated data, we observe that lower fractional orders can effectively filter out random noise. Time series with diverse long- and short-term memory patterns exhibit distinct extremities at different fractional orders. In practical applications, MTECM-FOSS exhibits competitive or superior classification performance compared to state-of-the-art algorithms when using fewer features, indicating its potential for engineering tasks.