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<p>The study of pre-symptomatic amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) and the design of disease prevention trials are greatly hampered by our inability to predict which unaffected carriers of ALS-associated pathogenic variants will phenoconvert to clinically manifest disease and when. In this longitudinal Olink Explore, high-throughput, proteomic study, 516 serially collected plasma samples from 33 phenoconverters, 35 patients with ALS, 10 pre-symptomatic pathogenic variant carriers and 59 controls were included. Here we identified 92 proteins with concentrations that changed before phenoconversion; characterized the longitudinal trajectory of these proteins and identified a core panel of 19 proteins which, collectively, predicted phenoconversion over the 0.5-year to 5-year time horizons (crossvalidated areas under the curve 0.80–0.89) and yielded estimates of time to phenoconversion with a mean absolute error of 1.6 years. These findings were partially replicated in UK Biobank data, confirming pre-symptomatic increases in several proteins (for example, NEFL, EDA2R and CA3) and that a multi-protein panel outperformed NEFL alone in estimating time to phenoconversion. This work sheds light on the biology of pre-symptomatic ALS. Moreover, our identification of a panel of new susceptibility/risk biomarkers based on empirical longitudinal data furthers the ultimate goal of ALS prevention.</p>

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Longitudinal plasma proteomics predict phenoconversion to clinically manifest ALS

  • 期刊论文

  • 出版模式：

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  • 发表日期：

    2026年7月27日

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  • Ximing Ran,
  • Joanne Wuu,
  • Zhaohui S. Qin,
  • Michael P. McDermott,
  • Johnathan Cooper-Knock,
  • Yindi Li,
  • Volkan Granit,
  • Anne-Laure Grignon,
  • Elizabeth Lin,
  • Maria Catalina Fernandez,
  • Danielle Colato,
  • Nathan Carberry,
  • Christina M. Lill,
  • Paolo Piazza,
  • Andrea Malaspina,
  • Michael Benatar

摘要

The study of pre-symptomatic amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) and the design of disease prevention trials are greatly hampered by our inability to predict which unaffected carriers of ALS-associated pathogenic variants will phenoconvert to clinically manifest disease and when. In this longitudinal Olink Explore, high-throughput, proteomic study, 516 serially collected plasma samples from 33 phenoconverters, 35 patients with ALS, 10 pre-symptomatic pathogenic variant carriers and 59 controls were included. Here we identified 92 proteins with concentrations that changed before phenoconversion; characterized the longitudinal trajectory of these proteins and identified a core panel of 19 proteins which, collectively, predicted phenoconversion over the 0.5-year to 5-year time horizons (crossvalidated areas under the curve 0.80–0.89) and yielded estimates of time to phenoconversion with a mean absolute error of 1.6 years. These findings were partially replicated in UK Biobank data, confirming pre-symptomatic increases in several proteins (for example, NEFL, EDA2R and CA3) and that a multi-protein panel outperformed NEFL alone in estimating time to phenoconversion. This work sheds light on the biology of pre-symptomatic ALS. Moreover, our identification of a panel of new susceptibility/risk biomarkers based on empirical longitudinal data furthers the ultimate goal of ALS prevention.