<p>Arctic rivers transport water, sediment and carbon, playing a central role in coastal stability and biogeochemical cycling. Although freshwater discharge to the Arctic Ocean has increased in recent decades, limited observations have hindered system-wide assessment of long-term, reach-level sediment dynamics. Here we develop a pan-Arctic-specific, satellite- and machine learning-based framework to reconstruct four decades of suspended sediment concentration dynamics for 4,331 river reaches. Our analysis reveals a significant increase in suspended sediment concentration in 40% of river reaches (858 out of 2,158) draining continuous permafrost zone, primarily driven by increasing discharge, intensified thermokarst disturbances and fires. The pan-Arctic land–ocean sediment flux averages 315 ± 33 Mt yr<sup>−1</sup>, with 198 ± 35 Mt yr<sup>−1</sup> (63%) from the six major rivers (Yenisey, Lena, Ob’, Kolyma, Yukon and Mackenzie) and 117 ± 13 Mt yr<sup>−1</sup> (37%) from 263 previously overlooked small- and medium-sized coastal rivers. The total land–ocean sediment flux has increased by ~15%, from ~299 ± 28 Mt yr<sup>−1</sup> in the 1980s to 344 ± 29 Mt yr<sup>−1</sup> in the 2010s. These results provide a baseline for pan-Arctic river sediment dynamics and underscore the essential yet underappreciated contribution of small- and medium-sized coastal rivers to Arctic landscape and carbon cycle changes.</p>

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Increasing river sediment concentration and flux across the pan-Arctic

  • Shang Tian,
  • Dongfeng Li,
  • Ting Zhang,
  • James W. McClelland,
  • Irina Overeem,
  • Stuart N. Lane,
  • Robert G. M. Spencer,
  • Ellen Wohl,
  • Anmeng Sha,
  • Yi Zhao,
  • Chiyuan Miao,
  • Munan Ning,
  • Li Yuan,
  • Jinren Ni

摘要

Arctic rivers transport water, sediment and carbon, playing a central role in coastal stability and biogeochemical cycling. Although freshwater discharge to the Arctic Ocean has increased in recent decades, limited observations have hindered system-wide assessment of long-term, reach-level sediment dynamics. Here we develop a pan-Arctic-specific, satellite- and machine learning-based framework to reconstruct four decades of suspended sediment concentration dynamics for 4,331 river reaches. Our analysis reveals a significant increase in suspended sediment concentration in 40% of river reaches (858 out of 2,158) draining continuous permafrost zone, primarily driven by increasing discharge, intensified thermokarst disturbances and fires. The pan-Arctic land–ocean sediment flux averages 315 ± 33 Mt yr−1, with 198 ± 35 Mt yr−1 (63%) from the six major rivers (Yenisey, Lena, Ob’, Kolyma, Yukon and Mackenzie) and 117 ± 13 Mt yr−1 (37%) from 263 previously overlooked small- and medium-sized coastal rivers. The total land–ocean sediment flux has increased by ~15%, from ~299 ± 28 Mt yr−1 in the 1980s to 344 ± 29 Mt yr−1 in the 2010s. These results provide a baseline for pan-Arctic river sediment dynamics and underscore the essential yet underappreciated contribution of small- and medium-sized coastal rivers to Arctic landscape and carbon cycle changes.